economy

Russia's military spending in the first quarter of 2026 reached a record 5.9 trillion rubles - economist Janis Kluge

In the first quarter of 2026, Russian budget expenditures on war reached a new record of 5.9 trillion rubles. Economist Janis Kluge, a researcher at the German Institute for International and Security Affairs, arrived at this conclusion after studying data from the Russian Ministry of Finance.

Russia's military spending in the first quarter of 2026 reached a record 5.9 trillion rubles - economist Janis Kluge

TL;DR

  • Russian budget spending on war reached a record 5.9 trillion rubles in Q1 2026.
  • This represents a 30% increase compared to Q1 of the previous year (4.5 trillion rubles).
  • Secret expenditures significantly increased from 3.4 trillion to 4.9 trillion rubles.
  • Approximately 38% of total federal spending (12.8 trillion rubles) in Q1 was classified.
  • An estimated 85% of secret expenditures are allocated to military needs.
  • War spending accounts for about 46% of total expenditures, equating to roughly 65 billion rubles per day.
  • This actual spending contradicts official budget projections for a decrease in defense spending as a percentage of GDP.
  • The increase might be due to 'accounting acrobatics,' with expenses from late last year potentially shifted to early 2026.
  • A definitive assessment of the spending increase's cause requires the Q2 report.