economy

January 19, 2026

EU walking into ‘high-risk dependency’ on US energy

US LNG may account for 80% of EU imports by 2030, researchers have said, warning of ‘high-risk dependency’ amid tension over Greenland

EU walking into ‘high-risk dependency’ on US energy

TL;DR

  • IEEFA warns of a "potentially high-risk new geopolitical dependency" for the EU on US natural gas imports.
  • The EU's increased reliance on US gas follows a decrease in pipeline gas from Russia after 2022.
  • US President Trump has imposed tariffs on some European NATO nations over Greenland and uses energy as a trade negotiation tool.
  • The EU agreed to buy $750 billion worth of US energy products by 2028 to avoid tariffs.
  • IEEFA suggests investing this sum in renewables could boost energy security and lower prices.
  • Reduced Russian gas imports have caused an energy crisis in the EU, leading to economic harm and increased living costs.
  • Russia claims to be a reliable supplier and has shifted exports to 'friendly' markets.

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