politics
March 5, 2026
Israel–US strikes on Iran: 7 strategic lessons for Russia and the future of global conflict
After US and Israeli airstrikes and the killing of Iran’s Supreme Leader, Tehran retaliates, oil routes wobble, and global tensions rise. What the crisis reveals about sanctions, regime change, and long-term pressure on Russia.
TL;DR
- Sanctions are often combined with military strikes and other covert actions, not used in isolation.
- Pressure, whether economic or military, is a long-term strategy, potentially spanning decades.
- Concessions, like the 2015 nuclear deal, do not guarantee sustained relief from pressure.
- The targeted elimination of top leadership is an increasing tactic in modern conflict.
- Internal instability and social cohesion issues can be exploited by external actors.
- Economic partnerships with countries defying sanctions do not necessarily translate into military guarantees.
- Credible deterrence requires not just capability but also the adversary's sensitivity to the potential damage, as global powers show a growing fatalistic determination.
- The events in Iran signify a broader transformation in the international system, with sanctions evolving into strikes and leadership becoming a target.
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