economy

December 31, 2025

From collapse fears to resilience: How Russia reshaped its economy by the end of 2025

A deep dive into how state influence, Asian trade, and domestic production are reshaping the Russian economy

From collapse fears to resilience: How Russia reshaped its economy by the end of 2025

TL;DR

  • Russia's economy has shown resilience since 2022, with GDP growing over 4% annually and unemployment falling to a historic low of 2.2%.
  • State-owned enterprises like Rostec and Rosatom have seen significant revenue and profit increases.
  • Foreign trade has shifted eastward, with China, India, and Central Asian countries becoming major partners.
  • Import substitution policies have reduced import volumes by approximately 22% since 2021, with notable success in low- and medium-tech sectors.
  • The Russian ruble has strengthened significantly against the US dollar in 2025, attributed to reduced demand for foreign currency and strict monetary policy.
  • Investment activity has slowed due to stringent monetary policy, high capital costs, and fiscal pressures, although growth remains positive.
  • The labor market is tight, with historically low unemployment but a severe shortage of skilled labor.
  • Despite sanctions, foreign companies, particularly from China, continue to enter the Russian market.

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